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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chicken Tune of the Day
American Robin, Burton Drive Hideaway
King, Washington, United States. “American Robins upset by 2 Barred Owls in a tree, referred to as for at the least quarter-hour. Owl calls at 0:33 and 1:38. Occasional different birds embrace Pacific-slope Flycatcher.”
Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Biden Administration
“‘You’re screwed’: Romney’s exit threatens a collapse of Senate’s center” [Politico]. “And as maligned as Romney, Manchin and Sinema are by one occasion or the opposite’s devoted, the doable 2024 departures of two or three of them would change the Senate, which handed a number of notable bipartisan offers within the final Congress…. For 2 years below a 50-50 Senate, President Joe Biden discovered some legislative success by letting the chamber work its will. A roving bipartisan group began on Covid support in late 2020 and got here collectively on large points that had bedeviled earlier Congresses: gun security, same-sex marriage safety, microchip manufacturing and infrastructure funding. Democrats made their fair proportion of partisan strikes, jamming by lots of of billions in party-line {dollars} and an enormous pandemic support plan, however the Senate’s enjoying subject was additionally open for centrist maneuvering…. Nonetheless, the legislative filibuster and its 60-vote threshold stay intact — and that would imply new members step into the bipartisan breach. The query is whether or not which means collaboration solely on important authorities capabilities like retaining the lights on and elevating the debt ceiling or whether or not there’s a bipartisan want to do extra.” • So the actual problem is [genuflects] the filibuster….
2024
Time for the Countdown Clock!
* * * “‘They did it to me’: Trump says Biden impeachment inquiry could be motivated by revenge” [Politico]. “Former President Donald Trump has ‘no concept’ whether or not Republicans will vote to question President Joe Biden. However he does have a principle on what motivated Home Republicans to launch a Biden impeachment inquiry: revenge. ‘They did it to me,’ Trump advised former Fox and NBC host Megyn Kelly throughout an hourlong interview on SiriusXM radio that aired Thursday. ‘And had they not performed it to me, I feel, and no person formally mentioned this, however I feel had they not performed it to me … maybe you wouldn’t have it being performed to them.’”
“Courtroom orders Trump fraud trial be quickly halted after he sues the decide” [Independent]. “They’re in search of the involvement of an appellate decide to provoke an “Article 78 continuing”, which goals to compel [Justice Arthur Engoro] to considerably weaken the case introduced ahead by the lawyer basic.” • New York courtroom experts: What the heck is an “Article 78 continuing”?
* * * “What’s behind the nonsensical marketing campaign to interchange Biden-Harris in 2024” [MSNBC]. “Let’s get this out of the best way on the outset: Regardless of what number of pundits speculate and pen scorching sizzling takes floating the thought, Joe Biden just isn’t dropping out of the 2024 presidential race. He’s not dumping the vp, Kamala Harris, from his ticket. And above all, he stays the best-positioned Democrat to defeat Donald Trump subsequent 12 months…. Biden introduced his candidacy for re-election earlier this 12 months. He’s already raised $77 million as of July, and has no severe major problem. He stays broadly widespread amongst Democratic voters, even when he clearly has work to do with a purpose to reassure wayward occasion members. … He has given each conceivable sign that he’s working and that his coronary heart is in it. Barring some unexpected well being occasion, he’s not dropping out… Nor will Biden jettison Harris from the presidential ticket. Whereas it’s true that Harris just isn’t terribly widespread, dropping her from the ticket could be a slap within the face to probably the most constantly loyal constituency within the Democratic Occasion — Black ladies…. Lastly, and that is the essential level: Biden is healthier positioned than every other Democrat to beat Trump subsequent 12 months. Not solely has he already performed it, however he’s the incumbent president, and incumbent presidents often get re-elected. Another Democratic candidate, whether or not it’s California Gov. Gavin Newsom or Whitmer, could be untested on the nationwide stage and, maybe much more vital, unvetted. Why anybody thinks it will be a good suggestion to forged apart an incumbent president with a document of accomplishments and all the benefits of incumbency, for a candidate who most People don’t know, is tough to fathom at any time. … If Biden and Harris each dropped out, as The Washington Put up’s David Ignatius referred to as for this week, potential Democratic candidates would wish to feverishly elevate cash, rent employees and put a marketing campaign construction in place simply months earlier than voters go to the polls. The Democratic nomination race could be an unpleasant protracted meals struggle with no front-runner and an inexpensive probability that no candidate would win sufficient delegates to seize the nomination earlier than the Democratic Nationwide Conference.” • Feels like Democrats must study to apply politics! What an idea! But when Biden received’t drop out, he’ll must be pushed out. Jill higher hold an in depth eye on his capsules. Or, if Biden have been Castro, his cigars.
“Biden marketing campaign plots long-game technique as Democrats’ fears of a Trump win spike” [CNN]. “It’s not simply that voters proceed to say Biden is simply too previous or perhaps lower than the job, although that retains developing in Democrats’ focus teams. It’s a malaise concerning the president that operatives hold noting that goes past a slew of nationwide polls – together with one from CNN final week – that present a destructive view of the president’s efficiency. ‘I really feel detached, actually,’ mentioned a voter in a single late summer time focus group carried out in a powerful blue district, one among a number of described to CNN by operatives concerned. ‘I don’t have a really robust opinion, besides I’m glad that it’s not the earlier individual.’ ‘I really feel like he’s performed no hurt versus the earlier president,’ mentioned one other. ‘It’s not unhealthy, it’s not nice. ‘It’s principally simply attempting to carry our nation again as much as the place it was earlier than,’ mentioned a 3rd. ‘So as a substitute of doing nice issues, simply type of retaining us extra center floor.’” Importantly: “Inside Biden’s marketing campaign headquarters… aides haven’t shifted from their plan to remain largely below the radar and off the path till subsequent spring. Within the meantime, they’re ramping up an intensive information and outreach experiment that they are saying is the one technique to account for a way a lot has modified in politics, know-how and psychology within the eight years for the reason that final presidential election not outlined by social distancing, automobile rallies, Zoom fundraisers and the remaining that got here with the Covid-19 pandemic. The mission: see which Republicans and swing voters they’ll pull again from drifting to Trump, and whether or not there may be any hope of getting the broader voters really enthusiastic about something from Biden.”
“‘I don’t know what he’s performed’: Within the UAW president’s hometown, autoworkers lash out at Biden” [Politico]. “”Traditionally, man, should you didn’t vote Democrat years in the past, and also you have been within the union, typically you bought your ass kicked,” he mentioned. “Democrats have been for the working folks. That sh*t has modified. I’m telling you what, the Democratic Occasion was not what it was 20, 30 years in the past.’” • Extra like 40 or 50.
* * * “The Democratic Occasion Rigs the Primaries” [Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Wall Street Journal]. No debates, rigged major calendar. And: “If different candidates overcome all that, they’ve one other hurdle: a category of superdelegates referred to as “occasion leaders and elected officers,” or Pleos. In 2018 the DNC voted to take away different superdelegates from the primary spherical of voting on the conference to restrict the ability of occasion elites to override the folks’s selection. As a result of no official will seemingly dare provoke the wrath of the DNC by pledging to me, solely DNC-approved candidates will get any Pleos. Their web impact shall be to impose the occasion insiders’ will on Democratic voters. Assuming no Pleo backs me, I must win greater than 70% of standard delegates to beat Mr. Biden. The DNC appears to have forgotten the aim of the fashionable major system, which is to interchange backroom crony politics with a clear democratic course of. Our marketing campaign has contacted the DNC prematurely of its subsequent assembly in Washington, asking for a transparent course of wherein the candidate chosen by a majority of major voters would be the occasion’s nominee. In two letters despatched this week to DNC Chairman Jaime Harrison, my marketing campaign requested a gathering to debate voter rights. We famous that the DNC consults carefully with Julie Chávez-Rodríguez, Mr. Biden’s marketing campaign supervisor, and we assume that Mr. Harrison will agree to satisfy with us. Nonetheless, we’ve got had no response of any sort from the occasion since June.” • Occasion’s response: “LOL no.”
* * * AZ: “Biden admin mass releasing migrants immediately onto Arizona streets as border disaster rages” [FOX]. “Fox Information Digital reported this week how Border Patrol management has set ‘bookout’ targets for sectors amid growing numbers that’s straining capability…. The Aug 8 e mail, obtained by Florida Lawyer Basic Ashley Moody’s workplace as a part of litigation, says each day encounters ‘[continue] to surpass the each day everlasting bookouts and the in-custody numbers proceed to rise creating important dangers to brokers and detainees.” Consequently, the company proposes ‘each day bookout targets’ per sector ‘to carry in-custody numbers to manageable ranges’ primarily based on 7-day averages. It then says that, if ‘consequence pathways’ corresponding to expedited elimination should not obtainable, then releasing migrants with Notices to Seem (NTA/OR) at a future courtroom date needs to be used.”
MI: “Michigan Pretend Elector Tells Courtroom She Acted ‘At The Course’ Of Trump and His Attorneys” [Mediaite]. “One of many sixteen pretend electors indicted this summer time in Michigan advised the courtroom in a submitting Monday that she acted ‘on the path’ of former President Donald Trump and his attorneys. The courtroom submitting was submitted by lawyer Paul Stablein on behalf of his consumer Amy Facchinell and on Tuesday native media referred to as it ‘one of many strongest connections but between the efforts of the 16 Republicans in Michigan who at the moment are dealing with felony fees and Trump.’ In July, Michigan Lawyer Basic Dana Nessel (D) indicted the sixteen pretend electors on a number of counts over their function in attempting to overturn the 2020 presidential election in that state — all of them face severe jail sentences if convicted…. Stablein’s submitting strikes to determine that the conspiracy, fraud, and forgery fees Facchinell faces are a results of an lawyer for Trump on Dec. 14, 2020 telling the Republican electors ‘that efficiency of their duties was crucial on behalf of the president and the Structure.’ ‘Attorneys for the president particularly instructed Ms. Facchinello that the Republican electors’ assembly and casting their ballots on Dec. 14, 2020, was according to counsels’ recommendation and was essential to protect the presidential election contest,’ Stablein wrote.”
NC: “A 25-year-old from a small city leads North Carolina’s Democratic Occasion towards 2024” [NPR]. “Now, it’s been greater than six months since Clayton was elected chair of the North Carolina Democratic Occasion, a promotion after main her county’s occasion. And at 25 years previous, she’s the youngest state occasion chief within the nation. It’s a title she wears proudly, proper alongside one other: being from a small city. Each identities make a lot of her political battles private, as she wrestles with the previous faults of her occasion and what she desires the long run to seem like. ‘I used to be offended,’ she mentioned of the Democratic Occasion. ‘I used to be offended that it was ignoring locations like the place I’d grown up.’
‘Rural areas proper now are dying, and folks for years have simply sat there and mentioned, ‘y’all deserve that,” she advised NPR, sitting on the sofa in her mum or dad’s front room throughout a summer time afternoon in Roxboro, N.C. For those who’re going to decide on to stay in an space like that, you deserve simply to die out.’” • Rule #2. See yesterday’s dialogue of small (Republican) vs. massive (Democrat) counties.
NV: “Choose Guidelines Clark County Academics Union Coordinated A Sickout Strike” [Nevada Globe]. “Immediately, Choose Crystal Eller dominated in favor of the Clark County College District (CCSD) who sought an injunction towards the Clark County Schooling Affiliation’s (CCEA) function in coordinating a sickout strike which disrupted college and district operations affecting practically a dozen faculties all through the Las Vegas valley this previous week…. The present injunction filed by CCSD on Monday contended that it ‘defies logic to counsel that mass absences represent something apart from a strike.’ Immediately, Choose Eller agreed, noting, ‘the concept that sickouts should not a strike is preposterous.’ The CCEA contended that the absences have been on account of staffing shortages, a vacation weekend, Covid and the seasonal back-to-school flu, and that the union didn’t coordinate the rolling sickouts. Nevertheless, CCSD included reveals from a whistleblower and a trainer who claimed that the one of many college closures was led by a unionized trainer who mobilized colleagues to take the time without work Tuesday and this upcoming Friday to disrupt instruction. Underneath Nevada regulation, it unlawful for state public workers to strike.”
Obama Legacy
Meta-chutzpah:
The arsonist asking folks to donate to extinguish the hearth. https://t.co/aFPhz5t4vY
— Arnaud Bertrand (@RnaudBertrand) September 15, 2023
Not many homicide their mother and father and throw themselves on the mercy of the decide as a result of they
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, evidently individuals are really studying the back-dated publish! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are numerous updates. So I should do this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Occasion (“the Democrat Occasion is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated publish, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “stay” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Occasion is, in actual fact, a tough downside. I do suppose the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Occasion is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Occasion didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” after all.) Second, all of the working elements of the Occasion reinforce one another. Go away apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Occasion (ka-ching, however not fully) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Web? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence group.
Be aware, after all, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is restricted by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
* * * “New Hampshire dangers dropping delegates over presidential major date struggle with DNC” [CBS]. “The DNC is upending the 2024 presidential nominating course of by making South Carolina the primary major state, knocking New Hampshire out of its coveted place. However New Hampshire has thus far refused to concede the spot, breezing by a Sept. 1 deadline the DNC had set for New Hampshire to surrender its place. On Thursday, the DNC Guidelines and Bylaws Committee prolonged the deadline for New Hampshire to return into compliance to Oct. 14, reserving its menace of sanctions that may take away a number of the state’s delegates on the Democratic Nationwide Conference subsequent 12 months if it doesn’t adjust to the nationwide occasion’s major calendar modifications. At this level, the committee says it has solely acquired a plan from New Hampshire that doesn’t embrace a major date. If the New Hampshire major is held forward of South Carolina, Mr. Biden and his marketing campaign could omit his title from the poll in New Hampshire, in protest of its failure to adjust to occasion guidelines. Mr. Biden, whose profitable pursuit of the 2020 nomination was launched by South Carolina’s help, initially proposed that the state go first within the Democrats’ major course of. New Hampshire Democrats argue they lack the authority to maneuver the first as a result of New Hampshire regulation requires the state’s major to be set at the least every week earlier than every other nominating contest. To conform, a reversal of the 1975 regulation must cross a Republican-led majority within the Legislature. Whereas simply 43% of Democrats help the “first within the nation” regulation, a majority of Republicans and independents within the state help the regulation, in accordance with a College of New Hampshire ballot. A DNC calendar change has lengthy been floated, and New Hampshire hasn’t taken steps to alter its regulation.” • And talking of the DNC—
“NC Guidelines & Bylaws Committee Meets To Think about 2024 Presidential Main & Caucus Calendar” [C-SPAN]. “The Democratic Nationwide Committee’s Guidelines & Bylaws Committee met in Washington, DC to contemplate states’ plans for 2024 primaries, caucuses, and delegate choice. The 2 states with probably the most controversy — Iowa and New Hampshire, the normal first-in-the-nation caucus and first states — had the destiny of their 2024 plans delayed till a later assembly of the Guidelines & Bylaws Committee, slated to coincide with the total DNC’s 2024 fall assembly in St. Louis. The committee additionally authorised delegate choice plans from different states together with Georgia and California, and mentioned Maine’s expertise with ranked-choice voting, which was being proposed by some states for his or her 2024 presidential major contests.”
* * * “The Democrats’ Oliver Anthony Drawback” [Ruy Teixiera, The Liberal Patriot]. “The truth that Democrats responded with visceral dislike to a music that expressed the difficult populist views of an precise working-class individual exhibits how unwelcoming the occasion has change into to precise working-class folks, versus mythological proletarians who mix hatred of (Republican) companies with reverence for ‘Bidenomics’ and cautious utilization of all of the authorised intersectional language… In a brand new CNN ballot, Biden loses the working class by 14 factors to Trump, whereas carrying college-educated voters by 18 factors. That compares to Biden’s 2020 loss to Trump of ‘solely’ 4 factors amongst working-class voters…. We’ll seemingly see extra of the identical in 2024. As Brownstein noticed within the article referenced above, it’s seemingly that Biden, regardless of his “center class Joe” persona, will wind up relying extra, not much less, on upscale voters than he did in 2020…..It simply may work. Definitely it’s mathematically possible to compensate for working-class losses by positive factors among the many college-educated (although these positive factors must be bigger as a result of the college-educated are a smaller group). However moreover being dangerous, one has to marvel what sort of occasion the Democrats have gotten. Is that this actually the occasion they wish to be, the place the views, priorities, and values of the educated take priority? We’re getting very far certainly from FDR’s occasion of the frequent man and girl. Each political prudence and the core historic commitments of the Democratic Occasion ought to lead them away from their present path and again towards the working class.” • The irony of Ruy Teixiera, the Democratic strategist who greater than every other moved created the permission construction for the Democrat PMC base to maneuver the occasion towards idpol, morphing into Thomas Frank, simply seven years too late, is tough to bear.
Realignment and Legitimacy
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the handle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
Censorship and Propaganda
“If You Endure from Pressing Regular Syndrome, Ask for Assist” [Jessica Wildfire, OK Doomer]. Nicely price a learn:
>
Pressing regular syndrome is outlined by:
- Unhealthy attraction to crowded indoor areas.
- Nervousness on the sight of masks or air purifiers.
- An urge to downplay threats.
- Avoidance of ‘unhealthy information.’
Reachers have recognized plenty of unhealthy dynamics in group psychology that may make somebody extra susceptible to pressing regular syndrome. First, teams can show normalcy bias that inhibits their regular struggle or flight response. As Amanda Ripley has argued in Unthinkable, ‘massive teams of individuals dealing with dying act in shocking methods. Most of us change into extremely docile… Normally, we type teams and transfer slowly, as if sleepwalking in a nightmare.’
Researchers have proven how normalcy bias has hampered our response to the pandemic. As one article within the Journal of Neighborhood & Public Well being notes, ‘social shaming reinforces our normalcy bias. It’s not cool to overreact.’
Collective amnesia additionally performs a task in pressing regular syndrome. As sociologist Alessandra Tanesini writes, ‘Communities typically reply to traumatic occasions of their histories by destroying objects that may cue recollections of a previous they want to neglect.’ Communities really unfold what she calls ‘reminiscence ignorance’ with a purpose to suppress previous errors, disagreeable recollections, and divergent thought. In keeping with Tanesini, this reminiscence ignorance serves as ‘a type of self-deception or wishful pondering within the service of self-flattery.’
A 3rd flaw performs a ultimate function in pressing regular syndrome, and it’s referred to as reactance. Initially proposed by Jack Brehm, reactance describes an intense want amongst individualists to downplay threats and dangers, particularly in the event that they understand a lack of their private freedom consequently.
We’ve witnessed an unsettling surge in all of those behaviors over the previous couple of years, as increasingly folks encourage and even reward one another for disregarding the well being and security of these round them.
Elite Maleficence
Covid minimizer and Sociopath of the Day Leana Wen * has Lengthy Covid:
It’s official — Leana Wen has #LongCovid
“In July, I wrote concerning the unsettling expertise of being.. very ailing & hospitalized. Many readers have kindly written to ask whether or not I’ve absolutely recovered.”
“I want I might say sure — The reality is much from that.” https://t.co/hiBUk2MSsK
— charlos (@loscharlos) September 14, 2023
NOTE * I let my schadenfreude get one of the best of me (hat tip, alert reader thump). However she definitely loads of objects on the guidelines, particularly the recurring fatigue.
“PROFILE: Leana Wen” [Covid Accountability Index]. From January, nonetheless germane. Huge takedown and description of Wen’s profession, concluding: “For a short time, I used to think about ‘Judas’ as a enjoyable entrance jingle for skilled wrestler and dad-rock musician Chris Jericho. Now I consider somebody who strains her personal pockets while betraying her colleagues and neglecting not solely her youngsters, however the tens of tens of millions of youngsters throughout America. For those who’re going to be a sit-at-home MD all day Leana, why don’t you choose up a interest as a substitute – like solo-boardgaming or papercraft or one thing comparatively innocent. It’s by no means too late to make a optimistic change.” • Ouch.
Case Knowledge
NOT UPDATED From BioBot wastewater information, September 14:
Lambert right here: Different indicators — scattered and partial although they be — additionally converge on a drop: ER visits, positivity. We will see. (I would come with CDC’s wastewater map for comparability, but it surely’s eleven days previous.)
Regional information:
Curiously, the upswing begins earlier than July 4, which neither accelerates nor retards it.
Variants
From CDC, September 16:
Lambert right here: High of the leaderboard: EG.5 (“Eris“). Nonetheless BA.2.86 right here, not even within the notice, however see under at Positivity.
From CDC, September 2:
Lambert right here: Undecided what to make of this. I’m used to seeing a brand new variant take down the beforehand dominant variant. Right here it seems like we’ve got a “tag staff,” all working collectively to chop XBB.1.5 right down to dimension. I positive hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to amenities lower by directors of ailing intent).
CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance information shall be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of optimistic take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Seems like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, September 9:
NOTE “Charts and information offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the whole pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for eachMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart exhibits, at the least for its time interval, that Covid is not seasonal, though CDC is attempting to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the prevailing institutional equipment for injections.
Hospitalization
Bellwether New York Metropolis, information as of September 14:
Nonetheless climbing. I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading.
Right here’s a unique CDC visualization on hospitalization, nationwide, not by state, however with a date, at the least. September 9:
Be aware the slight drop, according to Walgreens. At the least now we now that hospitalization tracks positivity, which is good. Even when we don’t know what number of instances there are.
Positivity
NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, September 11:
0.4% Nonetheless pondering the dip is Labor Day information. Or maybe folks have been really testing for Labor Day, and stopped. Absolutely the numbers are nonetheless very small relative to June 2022, say. Curiously, these don’t correlate with the regional figures for wastewater. (It might be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants usually; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and massive peer strain, went and obtained examined anyhow.)
NOT UPDATED Cleveland Clinic, September 9:
Lambert right here: I do know that is simply Ohio, however the Cleveland Clinic is nice*, and we’re starved for information, so…. NOTE * Even when hospital an infection management is attempting to kill sufferers by eliminating common masking with N95s.
From CDC, traveler’s information, August 26:
A drop! And listed below are the variants:
No BA.2.86 for 2 of the long-delayed assortment weeks. I’ve highlighted the 2 leaders: EG.5 and FL.1.5.1. Curiously, these are the 2 leaders inside the USA additionally, suggesting the nationwide and worldwide bouillabaisse is analogous. Or we’re infecting the world.
Deaths
NOT UPDATED Iowa COVID-19 Tracker, September 13:
Lambert right here: The WHO information is nugatory, so I changed it with the Iowa Covid Knowledge Tracker. Their technique: “These information have been sourced, by way of the API from the CDC: https://information.cdc.gov/NCHS/Situations-Contributing-to-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Stat/hk9y-quqm. This visualization updates on Wednesday evenings. Knowledge are provisional and are adjusted weekly by the CDC.” I can’t appear to get a pop-up that exhibits a complete of the three causes (prime proper). Readers?
Whole: 1,175,152 – 1,174,691 = 461 (461 * 365 = 168,265 deaths per 12 months, at the moment’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit increased than the minimizers would love, although they’ll speak themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may must resolve that is what the powers-that-be contemplate “mission completed” for this explicit tranche of dying and illness).
Extra Deaths
NOT UPDATED The Economist, September 13:
Lambert right here: That is now being up to date each day once more. Odd. Primarily based on a machine-learning mannequin. (The CDC has an extra estimate too, however because it ran eternally with an enormous typo within the Legend, I figured no person was actually taking a look at it, so I obtained rid it. )
Stats Watch
Manufacturing: “United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index surprisingly jumped to 1.9 in September 2023 from -19 in August, beating forecasts of -10. The studying confirmed enterprise exercise within the NY state was little modified after shrinking sharply final month.”
Manufacturing: “United States Manufacturing Manufacturing” [Trading Economics]. “Manufacturing manufacturing within the US went up 0.1% from a month earlier in August 2023, following a downwardly revised 0.4% rise in July, according to expectations. The index for sturdy manufacturing edged up 0.1%, and the index for nondurable manufacturing elevated 0.2%.”
Industrial Manufacturing: “United States Industrial Manufacturing: [Trading Economics]. “Industrial manufacturing in the USA went up 0.4 p.c from a month earlier in August 2023, above market expectations of a 0.1 p.c improve and in contrast with a downwardly revised 0.7 p.c rise in July.”
Finance:
Delinquencies on auto loans, bank cards and shopper loans are on the highest in a a decade: pic.twitter.com/5A4iLjIawO
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) September 14, 2023
Mix that with inflation, and also you’ve obtained folks scrimping on life’s requirements to pay down debt, which results in a dour environment in “the economic system,” I might think about.
Tech: “Google says it may possibly’t repair Pixel Watches, please simply purchase a brand new one” [Ars Technica]. “Google makes a giant deal out of its partnership with iFixit and the supply of alternative elements for its merchandise, however one Google product that doesn’t appear fixable is the Pixel Watch. After recognizing some posts from Pixel Watch customers in search of a treatment after cracking the glass and developing with no clear solutions, The Verge obtained Google to verify that, even 11 months after launch, there isn’t any restore plan proper now. Google can’t repair your watch. There are not any elements. A Google spokesperson advised The Verge ‘At this second, we don’t have any restore possibility for the Google Pixel Watch. In case your watch is broken, you possibly can contact the Google Pixel Watch Buyer Help Crew to verify your alternative choices.’ Harm like a cracked show isn’t lined below any type of guarantee, so shopping for a brand new machine is the one official possibility.”
Immediately’s Worry & Greed Index: 55 Impartial (earlier shut: 50 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 51 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Sep 14 at 12:32:38 PM ET.
Picture Guide
“Discover what you discover” [Notice What You Notice]. Re Instagram, and so on.: “That’s the humorous factor about these social nets: they trick you into pondering you want them to your inventive work, however they find yourself sapping you of a lot of your vitality that you just don’t have the juice to do your factor. And they’re an infinite distraction, to not point out addictive. That has been my expertise, anyway. I’d be curious to listen to should you agree and the way you’ve got responded to those nefarious challenges in your individual work.”
The 420
“1000’s signal as much as expertise magic mushrooms as Oregon’s novel psilocybin experiment takes off” [Associated Press].
Epic Therapeutic Eugene [Oregon] — America’s first licensed psilocybin service heart — opened in June, marking Oregon’s unprecedented step in providing the mind-bending drug to the general public. The middle now has a waitlist of greater than 3,000 names… No prescription or referral is required, however proponents hope Oregon’s legalization will spark a revolution in psychological well being care…. Colorado voters final 12 months handed a measure permitting regulated use of magic mushrooms beginning in 2024, and California’s Legislature this month authorised a measure that may enable possession and use of sure plant- and mushroom-based psychedelics, together with psilocybin and mescaline, with plans for well being officers to develop tips for therapeutic use.” • Hmm!
Information of the Wired
Contact info for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photographs of crops. Greens are high-quality! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you would like your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it firstly of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From lcm:
lcm write: “Black-eyed Susan and echinacea, largely self-sown, in central VA.” Lots of colour, precisely to my style.
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