2:00PM Water Cooler 8/22/2023 | bare capitalism


By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Fowl Tune of the Day

Massive Wren-Babbler, Kuala Lompat; Krau Reserve, Pahang, Malaysia. “Breeding Standing: territorial; Normal Local weather: moist; Cowl Density: thick). Different Behaviors: Promote. Habitat: Rainforest, Evergreen Forest, River.” I just like the title “Wren-Babbler.” It jogs my memory of a personality in a P.G. Wodehouse novel; “Bertie Wren-Babbler”; “Madeleine Wren-Babbler”; and so forth.

* * *

Search for the Helpers

“Obituary for a Quiet Life” [The Bitter Southerner (LL)]. “‘Would you write your papaw’s obituary?’ she requested, ever sensible even amid the lack of the love of her life. … Once I sat down to write down, I discovered myself dropping particulars right into a template — son of, survived by. The obituary kind places a selected stress on what issues, on what must be remembered and praised, however what does one say a couple of life that aimed to hold on within the background, that had little interest in a reputation in newsprint or an award on the mantel? Ray Harrell, son of Jim and Cora, was content material to take a seat nonetheless and watch the breeze scatter the leaves? Ray Harrell, sergeant top notch, organized the payments in his pockets in descending order? Ray Harrell, survived by Grace, whistled the identical invented tune yr after yr whereas looking for the best nail within the shed? I crammed within the anticipated particulars and despatched the obituary to the newspaper, however I knew it wasn’t proper. It captured nothing of the life he lived. What I returned to within the days after he handed, as the women from church coated the desk in casseroles and Grandma slept in a mattress alone for the primary time since she was 19, was the sheer audacity of a quiet life.” • LL writes: “This may occasionally a little bit of a stretch but it surely’s a stunning piece of writing and a celebration of a non-greedy lifestyle.” I agree (and I like The Bitter Southerner, not least due to its title; I believed I had subscribed,  however apparently not.) I’ve written the obituaries for each my dad and mom; it’s certainly useful, each to 1’s self, the familu, and the group, so -called. The writing doesn’t resolve something, however the small phrase rely brings its personal type of readability, and the submission to the native paper is a well-defined step ahead within the ritual-based switch of property that’s, in America, the consequence of demise, in a course of the place just about nothing else (emotions, say) is well-defined in any respect, or certainly assisted. “It’s altogether becoming and correct that we should always do that,” as Lincoln put it. It might be attention-grabbing to seek out out of the obituaries for the million souls misplaced to Covid differed from previous obituaries in any means; venture for a wet day, or a reporter, if funded. And so it’ll by no means occur.


“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are the truth is a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

The Constitutional Order

Two households, each alike in dignity,
In honest Verona, the place we lay our scene,
From historical grudge break to new mutiny,
The place civil blood makes civil palms unclean.
–William Shakespeare, Romeo and Juliet

Shakespeare says the 2 households are “alike” in dignity, however he doesn’t say how a lot dignity they really have. If Verona’s households are like our events, the reply is “not a lot.”

* * *

“The Sweep and Pressure of Part Three” [William Baude and Michael Stokes Paulsen, University of Pennsylvania Law Review]. I extremely suggest this piece (and the following dialogue at NC, beginning right here). As a former English main and a fan of shut studying, I’m not averse to “originalism,” of which Baude and Paulsen present a magisterial instance, within the sense that understanding the regulation as a textual content should start with understanding the plain, public which means of the phrases used when the textual content was written. That’s how I learn Shakespeare, or Joyce, so why not the Structure? Simply so long as understanding doesn’t finish there! In any case, I’m working by it. One factor I discover is that there do appear to have been moderately plenty of rebellions and insurrections, not simply the Civil Battle. To me, that is parallel to 1 lesson I drew from Mike Duncan’s Revolutions podcast (episode 1): There are moderately plenty of revolutions, too. Alert reader Pensions Man summarizes Baude and Paulsen as follows:]

The authors undergo an exhaustive textual and originalism evaluation of Part Three, and their Federalist Society leanings don’t deter them from reaching their conclusion that officers in each State who’re charged with figuring out candidate {qualifications} ought to conclude that Donald Trump is disqualified from being on ballots due to the oath he took on Inauguration Day 2017 and subsequently violated by his function within the rebellion that happened on January 6, 2021.

Taking “rebellion” as learn (I have to do extra studying), extra on my persevering with protection of Part Three.

* * *

“This situation might knock Trump off ballots nationwide. Prepare for it to dominate main season” [Los Angeles Times]. “Even because the legal instances towards Donald Trump dominate headlines, a unique, much less publicized wave of litigation is constructing that would endanger his presidential ambitions: efforts to exclude him from the poll beneath a constitutional provision adopted after the Civil Battle…. Even earlier than that, nevertheless, liberal authorized teams had begun researching state legal guidelines and dealing with voters who might problem Trump’s entry to the poll…. ‘The American public ought to count on to see a sequence of challenges filed in state after state,’ says Ron Fein, authorized director of 1 such group, Free Speech for Individuals.” From the About Web page, Director Ben Binswanger: “Mr. Binswanger started his profession as a political guide for quite a few Democratic candidates, and labored for greater than 5 years as Senator Edward Kennedy’s senior political advisor in Washington… Mr. Binswanger has additionally served on the boards of Demos.” Extra: “Whether or not the efforts succeed is anybody’s guess; the authorized points are advanced and with out clear precedents and will result in a Supreme Court docket showdown early within the new yr. Win or lose, nevertheless, the problem might severely disrupt a main season that’s already fraught with potential for strife and violence — one other instance of how Trump’s is stressing the nation’s authorized and political programs.” • Totes, just one occasion does that. The occasion of The Others.

“Georgia indictment and post-Civil Battle historical past make it clear: Trump’s actions have already disqualified him from the presidency” [The Conversation]. “We consider the Georgia indictment supplies much more element than the sooner federal one about how Trump’s actions have already disqualified him from workplace, and exhibits a option to maintain him off the poll in 2024.” • An indictment? Actually? Ask any ham sandwich about that! (Clearly, election officers want cowl for these judgments on disqualification. They want a non-partisan, branded MR SUBLIMINAL And completely not spook-infested! NGO. How in regards to the Atlantic Council?

“Will Donald Trump Be Disqualified from Operating Beneath the 14th Modification?” [Newsweek]. “The case that Donald Trump is ineligible to run for president in 2024 because of the 14th Modification is ‘compelling,’ however ‘unlikely to achieve broad acceptance,’ in keeping with [former federal prosecutor Adam Kamenstein, a partner with the Los Angeles-based law firm Adams, Duerk & Kamenstein]: ‘[L]ike all authorized arguments, its sensible utility rests on the frequent acceptance of sure info. We don’t have that right here, at this time, the place info and fact fluctuate relying on one’s political standpoint. Even when everybody agreed on the underlying Constitutional scholarship, we might by no means see settlement on the info to which it should be utilized. So, irrespective of how compelling the authorized scholarship, it’s unlikely to achieve broad acceptance.’” • 

Lambert right here: Hat tip to reader yesterday who dug into Baude and Paulsen. Main sources rule! 

Biden Administration


Time for the Countdown Clock!

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“5 Key Issues to Look ahead to in Republican Main Debate” [Newsweek]. “[I]n a race for second place, there’s a lot for the possible candidates to achieve, notably given a front-runner whose marketing campaign battle chest is dedicated to combating off 91 legal prices in 4 completely different jurisdictions.” • “DeSantis vs. Ramaswamy,” ‘Pile on Ron’, “Splintering on Ukraine,” “Nuance on Abortion,” “Who takes on Trump?” • That’s odd. Nothing a couple of Republican flip to the working class (irrespective of how cynical and fumbling).

* * *

“New Trump ballot proves Obama and Clinton have been proper: The GOP base are deplorable, bitter clingers” [Amanda Marcotte, Salon]. Amanda Marcotte and Henry Kissinger: Each nonetheless in there punching! “New polling out this week from CBS Information proves, as many feared, Trump’s fourth set of indictments — he now faces 91 [fancy!] felony prices throughout 4 jurisdictions — has solely brought on the GOP to rally round their seething orange chief…. And, in a ballot discovering that actually is astonishing, Trump voters claimed they belief the infamous fraudster greater than anybody. A whopping 71% of Trump voters declare “what he says is true.” Solely 63% of them say that about household and associates, 56% about conservative media figures and 42% about spiritual leaders. The phrase that involves thoughts is ‘cult.’ ‘Cult leaders should be dynamic, charismatic, and convincing as a result of their aim is to manage their members to amass cash or power-related benefits,’ mentioned Joe Scarborough on MSNBC in response to the ballot Monday. Political scientist Brian Klaas tweeted, ‘it is advisable perceive what an authoritarian cult of character is, as a result of that’s what it has turn into.’” • Speakling of “cults,” however to beMR SUBLIMINAL As all the time! honest, I can’t discover a story the place anyone named their pet after Jack Smith. Or, for that matter, Fani Willis. So maybe — as [genuflects] Obama as soon as put it — the fever is breaking. We are able to however hope.

* * *

“Mass shootings spur divergent legal guidelines as states cut up between gun rights and management” [Associated Press]. “[F]ellow Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker signed a regulation making Illinois the eighth state to roll again authorized protections for firearms producers and distributors. The brand new regulation bans firearms promoting that officers decide produces a public security risk or appeals to kids, militants or others who may later use the weapons illegally. Pritzker signed the invoice alongside attendees of an annual convention hosted by the gun-control group Everytown for Gun Security. The group mentioned 2023 has been ‘a historic yr for gun security within the states.’ Along with Illinois, Democratic-led legislatures in Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Michigan, Maryland, Minnesota, Vermont and Washington all handed a number of gun management provisions this yr.” • Pritzker checking these bins in very disciplined style.

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“Virginia Democrats increase alarms that Gov. Glenn Youngkin may very well be constructing towards a nationwide bid” [EMEA Tribune]. Pakistani, fascinatingly, although initially printed at NBC. “Virginia Democrats are fearful the nationwide occasion isn’t doing sufficient to cease Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin, elevating alarm bells that he might attempt to use wins on the state degree to tug Virginia to the best and, probably, mount a presidential bid. Chief amongst their worries is that this fall’s legislative elections. Each single seat within the commonwealth’s Normal Meeting, which is at present cut up between the 2 events, is up for re-election in November. Republicans now maintain a five-seat edge within the Home of Delegates with three vacancies, whereas Democrats management the Senate by the identical margin. Youngkin’s statewide operation is aiming at a GOP sweep, which might open the door to a conservative governing package deal Democrats have largely been capable of stymie throughout his first two years in workplace. GOP strategist Karl Rove, who beforehand labored for the Virginia GOP, agrees. Rove believes Youngkin and his political group have made all the best strikes to take full benefit of his reputation and channel it correctly. ‘Cash isn’t the whole lot in politics, but it surely’s necessary and he started elevating it early and spending it correctly, which occurs far much less typically than you may assume in politics,’ Rove mentioned… Rove believes that whereas Youngkin’s nationwide profile is on the rise, a race for president may nonetheless be a troublesome proposition this late within the calendar. ‘It’s a protracted shot if he decides to pursue it,’ Rove mentioned. ‘The irony is it’s a greater shot if he stays targeted on November and decides afterwards than if he decides at this time.’”

“Gov. Youngkin fires again at college district defying coverage on gender id: ‘Mother and father are in cost’” [NBC News]. “Gov. Glenn Youngkin, R-Va., responded to a college district asserting it wouldn’t use the new mannequin insurance policies set by Virginia’s Schooling Division (VDOE), saying it’s the regulation and the district ‘doesn’t have a selection’ within the matter.  Prince William County Public Faculties (PWCS) launched a press release final week stating that it might persist with an older coverage that addresses the ‘rights of transgender and gender-nonconforming college students’ as a result of it’s ‘per each federal and state anti-discrimination legal guidelines.’ The VDOE’s 2021 mannequin insurance policies for college districts allowed transgender college students to make use of bogs and college amenities that matched their gender id in addition to required lecturers to make use of college students’ most well-liked gender pronouns, in keeping with the Washington Put up.” • Not talked about within the article above, oddly. Discover that if darkish horse Pritzker runs, gender id will transfer entrance and heart as an election “situation.” All the time one thing to look ahead to in 2024.

“Virginia faculty district not stunned by ‘controversy’ over accepting anti-‘woke’ books in class libraries” [Washington Examiner]. “Taylor added that the query of ‘the place are the constructive books?’ impressed a better push to encourage the acceptance of Courageous Books of their faculty libraries. The Courageous Books CEO mentioned Monday that he doesn’t perceive why some adults are advocating pornographic and inappropriate supplies in class libraries and is thrilled Spotsylvania is including his values-based books of their libraries. ‘All people will get grossed out by it, and children get grossed out by it by nature,’ Talbott mentioned of graphic books in colleges. Taylor hopes different faculty districts observe their lead in an emphasis on offering college students a ‘ethical training’ and ‘acceptable studying picks.’” • Can’t we simply depart what’s within the library to librarians? Or, heaven forfend, has the successor ideology corrupted them too?

Democrats en Déshabillé

Affected person readers, it appears that evidently individuals are really studying the back-dated put up! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are numerous updates. So I should try this. –lambert

I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Social gathering (“the Democrat Social gathering is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated put up, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “reside” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Social gathering is, the truth is, a tough downside. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:

The Democrat Social gathering is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Social gathering didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working elements of the Social gathering reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Social gathering (ka-ching, however not completely) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Web? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence group.

Be aware, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different lessons; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.

* * *

Realignment and Legitimacy

“Does Voting By Mail Actually Assist Candidates Win?” [Washington Monthly]. “Lecturers and political professionals have lengthy debated the consequences of mail-in voting, and up to date research have come to 2 conclusions. First, sending voters a poll by mail—which they will fill out at house and mail again or ship in individual to a drop field or polling location—boosts total turnout. Second, on stability, mail-in voting—generally referred to as voting at house—doesn’t benefit one occasion over one other. The latter conclusion appeared true even in 2020, when Donald Trump particularly dissuaded his base from voting by mail, spreading false conspiracy theories that absentee voting causes fraud and unfairly advantages Democrats. Although Trump misplaced and a far larger portion of Democrats than Republicans voted by mail that yr (58 % versus 32 % in keeping with a Pew survey), a complete examine failed to point out a partisan benefit for Democrats within the nation as an entire. The examine additionally discovered, nevertheless, a small benefit for Democrats in states that allowed voters to acquire mail ballots with out an excuse (like, say, a word from a physician). Because it occurs, almost the entire battleground states in 2020, the place the presidential campaigns targeted their power and sources, have been additionally “”no excuse”” states. Consequently, the discovering suggests—though it doesn’t positively show—that the Democrats’ better concentrate on vote by mail in these states could have made a distinction.   The outcomes from the 2022 midterms level in the identical path. Democratic candidates all over the place endorsed mail-in voting and carried out higher than anticipated, whereas Republicans shied away—largely for worry of antagonizing Trump and his hardcore supporters—and did worse.” • I don’t care, I hate all of it, and I don’t care what goo-goos from Oregon say. Any system apart from your entire nation voting on the identical time rewards partisan affiliation, which is the very last item we wish to do (and why Democrats prefer it a lot.


“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the handle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3). 

Keep secure on the market!

* * *


An intelligence check! Which Mandy fails, dramatically:

I’m impressed by CDC staffers’ collective (and distinctive) silent rebuke to “Maskless Mandy”‘s recklessness (and I hope the auditorium was well-ventilated). These staffers give me hope. The parallel between Mandy’s modeling of masking follow throughout a pandemic pushed by an airborne Degree 3 biohazard and the administration pablum on Mandy’s PowerPoint is fairly stark. You need “belief”? Then act in a reliable style!

Elite Maleficence

“CDC Weighs Decrease An infection Security Precautions For Healthcare Staff” [Judy Stone, Forbes]. “The Healthcare An infection Management Advisory Committee advises the CDC on tips for an infection management in healthcare settings. HICPAC met in June and printed slides summarizing its draft tips [finally]. That is the place the controversy started. It’s scheduled to satisfy once more on Tuesday, Aug 22, and, per its printed draft agenda [finally], to vote on finalizing its plan for the CDC. Nevertheless, I used to be advised by a CDC consultant that there won’t be a vote till no less than November. The deliberate HICPAC revisions would water down an infection management protections, notably for aerosol transmission and multidrug-resistant organisms.” Importantly:

Greater than 900 specialists in infectious illness, public well being, industrial hygiene, aerosol science and air flow engineering signed a letter to Mandy Cohen, M.D., the brand new CDC director, explaining how the brand new draft tips weaken protections for healthcare staff. They state, ‘Surgical masks can’t be advisable to guard well being care personnel towards inhalation of infectious aerosols.’ The specialists’ letter was coauthored by Lisa Brosseau, Jane Thomason and Peg Seminario, amongst others. Seminario was the director of occupational security and well being for the AFL-CIO from 1990 to 2019.

The CDC responded to Seminario and the specialists’ letter solely now, a month later, and simply earlier than the scheduled Aug 22 assembly. The company supplied no substantive or particular rebuttal, however spoke of its dedication to ‘enhancing healthcare high quality’ and dedication to ‘to transparency, communication, and stakeholder engagement.’ . The letter isn’t but publicly out there [dry, very very].

I hardly dare hope that my yammering about FACA (right here; right here) had some impact. However a person can dream! At present is August 22; HICPAC will end assembly one half hour after Water Cooler posts in a super world; and we are going to see what the outcomes are.

* * *

Case Information

From BioBot wastewater information, August 22:

Lambert right here: Completely happy reminiscences of tape-watching days! Closing in on a Trump-era surge degree; Biden’s, in fact, are larger. It will likely be attention-grabbing to see what occurs when colleges open up. I want to congratulate the Biden administration and the general public well being institution, the CDC particularly, for this huge and unprecedented achievement. And a tip of the ol’ Water Cooler hat to the Nice Barrington goons, whose insurance policies have been adopted so assiduously! A curious truth: All of Biden’s peaks are larger than Trump’s peaks. Reveals you what public well being can do when it’s firing on all eight cylinders! Musical interlude. NOTE I’m not comfortable that Biobot can’t replace this information extra regularly. 

Regional information:

Backward revisions. The nationwide flattening is because of the Midwest downward swoop. I’d await the backward revisions on that. Apparently, the upswing begins earlier than July 4, which neither accelerates nor retards it.

Regional variant information, August 19:

EG.5 (the orange pie slice) nonetheless appears evenly distributed. Sadly, the Midwest information isn’t out there, so we are able to’t infer something in regards to the Midwest surge and any variant(s), by some means. 


NOT UPDATED From CDC, August 19:

Lambert right here: Prime of the leaderboard: EG.5 (“Eris“). I’m not highlighting the BA.2’s as a result of the interactive model exhibits that these BA.2’s been hanging round at a low degree for months.

From CDC, August 5:

Lambert right here: Unsure what to make of this. I’m used to seeing a brand new variant take down the beforehand dominant variant. Right here it appears to be like like we now have a “tag group,” all working collectively to chop XBB.1.5 right down to measurement. I certain hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to amenities reduce by directors of in poor health intent).

CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance information will probably be reported biweekly, primarily based on the provision of constructive check specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Seems to be like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.

Covid Emergency Room Visits

NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, August 12:

Lambert right here: Improve is much more distinct. (The black line is “mixed”, however it’s straightforward to see that Covid, the purple line, is driving the whole lot.)

NOTE “Charts and information supplied by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not your entire pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “identical to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is suitable for eachMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart exhibits, no less than for its time interval, that Covid is not seasonal, although CDC is making an attempt to get us to consider that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the present institutional equipment for injections.


I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading. Nonetheless, right here’s bellwether New York Metropolis, information as of August 21:

Could possibly be worse, and likely will probably be. However how a lot worse?


Walgreens, August 21:

So, Walgreens is again within the recreation (and how on earth did that debacle occur? We breathlessly await the information protection). The share of positives is the very best ever, although absolute numbers are nonetheless small relative to previous surges.

NOT UPDATED From CDC, July 31:

Lambert right here: That is the CDC’s “Traveler-Based mostly Genomic Surveillance” information.


NOT UPDATED Iowa COVID-19 Tracker, August 9:

Lambert right here: The WHO information is nugatory, so I changed it with the Iowa Covid Information Tracker. Their technique: “These information have been sourced, by way of the API from the CDC: https://information.cdc.gov/NCHS/Circumstances-Contributing-to-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Stat/hk9y-quqm. This visualization updates on Wednesday evenings. Information are provisional and are adjusted weekly by the CDC.” I can’t appear to get a pop-up that exhibits a complete of the three causes (high proper). Readers?

Complete: 1,172,801 – 1,172,458 = 343 (343 * 365 = 125,195 deaths per yr, at this time’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “residing with” Covid (fairly a bit larger than the minimizers would love, although they will speak themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I could should resolve that is what the powers-that-be think about “mission completed” for this explicit tranche of demise and illness). 

Extra Deaths

The Economist, August 21:

Lambert right here:  Again to virtually dailiy. Odd when it’s, odd when it stops. Based mostly on a machine-learning mannequin. (The CDC has an extra estimate too, however because it ran endlessly with a large typo within the Legend, I figured no person was actually it, so I bought rid it. )

Stats Watch

Manufacturing: “United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The Manufacturing Exercise Index within the Richmond space edged as much as -7 in August 2023 from -9 in July, as anticipated.”

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* * *

At present’s Concern & Greed Index: 50 Concern (earlier shut: 46 Impartial) [CNN]. One week in the past: 54 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Aug 21 at 12:31 PM ET. Mr. Market continues to be chewing his palms.

Class Warfare

From the mouths of menswear professionals:

So it’s not potential to be a capitalist and a gentleman?

Information of the Wired

I’m not but wired at this time.

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Contact data for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a verify in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photographs of crops. Greens are high quality! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you would like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From SR:

SR writes: “Balcony, northern Virginia: The thriller of balloon flowers.”

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